Senate Control Pick: Republicans +260 Over Democrats -370

WASHINGTON – The Senate control pick for Tuesday’s midterm elections is Republicans at +260, with a split Congress at +400 the smaller lean. Democrats are the favorite at -370 and need a net gain of four seats, but the final polling averages put four of their seven targets only 2.5 to 3.0 points ahead. The straight Senate market is a two-way bet like any legal sports betting moneyline, so the margin is easy to measure. Democrats at -370 break even at 78.7 percent and Republicans at +260 at 27.8 percent, which adds to 106.5 percent.