Polymarket Puts Fable 5.2 or Later Release Odds at 70% by Oct. 17

The probability of Anthropic making Fable 5.2 or a later model publicly available by Oct. 17 rose to 70%, a 36% increase over 24 hours, under the market’s settlement rules. The deadline is measured in Eastern time. To qualify, a model’s name or identifier must include “Fable” and its version must be 5.2 or higher, including later versions such as Fable 6. A public beta or a waitlist open to the public counts as public availability. Closed testing and private access do not qualify.