Polymarket Prices Defined AI Downturn Odds at 9.4% by Dec. 31, 2026

Polymarket priced the chance of a defined AI industry downturn by Dec. 31, 2026, at 9.4% late Wednesday, based on a contract with six specific triggers. The terms require at least three of them to occur within the same 90-day window before the deadline. At 10:04:57 p.m. ET Oct. 21 (02:04:57 UTC Oct. 22), the “Yes” outcome was priced at 9.4 cents and “No” at 90.6 cents. The contract deadline is 11:59 p.m. ET Dec. 31. Its prices reflect that market snapshot and the contract’s rules.