Canelo Mbilli Prediction: Fight Goes The Distance At -350

RIYADH, Saudi Arabia – The Canelo Mbilli prediction is that the WBC super middleweight title fight Saturday goes all 12 rounds at -350, because Canelo Alvarez’s last eight fights ended on the scorecards and neither he nor Christian Mbilli, who holds the belt, has ever been knocked down. The distance is shorter than Alvarez’s -310 moneyline, and Mbilli by decision at +450 is the smaller lean. Alvarez’s last stoppage win was an 11th-round TKO of Caleb Plant on Nov. 6, 2021, according to ESPN’s title-fight record . Every fight since has gone 12 rounds and ended in a unanimous decision.