Robinhood Q3 earnings beat odds hit 87% as shares fall 17%

Polymarket traders put the probability of a Robinhood Q3 earnings beat at 87% ahead of its October 27, 2026, report, even as the stock has fallen about 17% during October. The contract centers on a $0.56 earnings-per-share estimate, but the money behind those odds is modest: approximately $2,400 in trading volume. Key takeaways Polymarket’s earnings-beat probability rose 26 points over the previous week. Robinhood met or exceeded EPS estimates in 13 of its last 18 quarters. Quarterly revenue is projected at about $1.42 billion. Vlad Tenev is expected to address AI trading and tokenization.