Kalshi Prices Marine Le Pen’s 2027 Election Odds at 53%

Kalshi traders priced French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen’s chance of winning the 2027 election at 53% Tuesday, a 14-percentage-point monthly gain as protests spread across France. Le Pen’s price stood at 39% a month earlier. Trading activity in Kalshi’s next-president market has increased since the demonstrations began in September. The contract asks who will win France’s next presidential election and is set to resolve after the French government verifies the winner in 2027. Student-led protests began in Paris over school conditions and teacher shortages. They widened to include complaints about living costs, health care and other public services.