GOP Sends $5M to Defend South Carolina as Prediction Markets Still Heavily Favor Graham

Republicans are sending reinforcements to South Carolina , a state they should not have to rescue. Prediction markets are considerably less alarmed. Graham is trading at 86% on Kalshi , where more than $2.3 million has poured into the contract, and 84% on Polymarket , with nearly $700,000 in volume. That puts South Carolina alongside Wisconsin ’s governor’s race as another sharp disagreement between close polling and confident market prices. Surveys suggest Republicans have a real problem. Traders still expect the state’s Republican lean to carry Graham through.