Bitcoin Fell After 3 Straight Midterms, and Tuesday Could Make It 4

In each of the last three cycles, bitcoin bottomed 13 to 71 days after a U.S. midterm election. Americans vote again on Tuesday, and Polymarket gives a Democratic sweep 72% odds. Crypto researchers have bitcoin’s last three cycle bottoms came soon after the U.S. midterms: Counting from Tuesday’s vote on Nov. 3, those three gaps would put a low somewhere between mid-November 2026 and mid-January 2027. The 2022 gap is the most familiar example, as the FTX collapse hit days after the Nov. 8 election that year, and bitcoin dropped toward $16,000.