Midterm Elections 2026: What Is at Stake for Bitcoin and Crypto

On Tuesday, 3 November 2026, Americans elect all 435 members of the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 senators. For Bitcoin and crypto, the midterm elections decide who writes the next crypto law: the market structure bill CLARITY failed in the Senate in September and will probably have to start again in the new Congress in January. Prediction markets on 30 October gave the Democrats a 92 to 94 percent chance of winning the House and 69 percent for the Senate, according to an overview by Oddschecker of Kalshi and Polymarket.